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Simon：I would not talk of a general overdependence of each country． This is one of the big advantages of globalization， it is a risk diversifier． If we do more and bigger trade with many countries it means that each country depends less on a single market． I would also not say， that the dependence is asymmetric． Germany depends very strongly on China as a target market． More so than China depends on Germany． On the other hand， China depends strongly on German investments and manufacturing competencies． There are about 8500 German companies in China． They run more than 2000 factories． In Taicang alonge there are more than 300 German companies． It would certainly not be good for China if this presence is impeded． I don’t have the impression that we can generally accuse Chinese acquirers of German companies for doing something improperly． For the vast majority the opposite is true． There are some cases of misconduct， but I hold that their percentage is lower than for American acquirers of German companies． Again， we experience a communication problem． The Chinese should communicate more openly on their plans． The press tends to pick up negative cases and blows them up， but it does not report if something runs smoothly．

但善于反思的德国人并没有简单地用加征关税的方式解决这个问题，而是反问了自己一个问题：在全球化趋势不断发展、创新进程极大加快、其他国家扩张性和保护主义工业政策日益抬头的背景下，如何维护“德国制造”的领先优势和可持续发展？德国人用一份国家战略回答了这个问题，在最近发布的德国《国家工业战略2030》中，提出通过国家适度干预重点工业领域，打造德国或欧洲的龙头企业，继续保持德国工业在欧洲乃至全球的竞争力。

Simon：As I said I do not expect a strong impact． Germany actually needs more Chinese investments． Currently there is only one Chinese greenfield factory operating in Germany． And actually the states and cities are vying for Chinese investments – opposite to the restrictions on the federal level． China and Germany are ideal partners． They have to find a way to cooperate． That has worked very well in the past． Both sides do not gain if they are too assertive．

光大水务已经拥有15年的污水处理行业经验，通过收购实现业务扩张方面的经验丰富。认为这有助于光大水务抓住项目升级带来的机遇。基于公司披露的项目，该行测算光大水务2017年和2018年达到一级A标准的项目占比分别为75%和84%，对应污水处理费从2015年到2018年上涨63.5%。

四、“荐股骗局”大揭秘案例1：假冒“私募基金”的大骗局张三在网上看到一个帖子，宣称国内知名私募基金公司资金实力雄厚，有“内幕消息”，与实力机构一起坐庄，愿意带客户一起发财，历史操盘战绩优异。张三登录该公司网站，看到大量股票研究报告和行情分析，觉得很正规，便注册为试用会员，免费收到荐股信息。张三观察了几天，发现推荐的股票都快速涨停，便交了2万元成为正式会员。此后，推荐的股票大多跌停套牢，损失惨重。张三多次要求该公司退还服务费，最后却发现电话无人接听，网站无法登录。张三发现自己上当了，后悔不已。

假设后续增值税税率由三档并为两档（税率10%这一档并为6%），并下调1%（即增值税税率调整为15%和5%两档），根据我们测算，“皖能电力、宝新能源、华电国际、通宝能源、精工钢构、京能电力、重庆建工、龙建股份”等个股受益较为明显。风险提示：增值税减税政策推出时间或不及预期、增值税减税力度或不及预期、公司涉及多项增值税率业务以及进项税与销项税的税率不等会导致测算偏差